给投资者最重要的一条建议。
The single most important piece of advice for investors。
投资。大量地投资，尽早开始，坚持下去。
Invest. Invest heavily, start early, and stick with it.
不要想着当天才，不要想着灵活进出，不要妄图 “抄底逃顶”。没人能做到。
Don’t try to be a genius. Don’t try to trade in and out nimbly. Don’t attempt to “buy the bottom and sell the top.” Nobody can do that consistently.
如果你真的在退出市场之后市场下跌了，那只是你运气好。
If the market happens to fall right after you exit, you just got lucky.
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但很多人退出市场后，看到市场下跌，就会自我陶醉，觉得自己很聪明，然后就忘了重新进场，结果错过了后来的上涨。
Yet many people, after exiting and seeing the market drop, become complacent and think they are clever. Then they forget to get back in and miss the subsequent rally.
市场时机判断是世界上最难的事情 —— 不要尝试去做它。
Market timing is the hardest thing in the world — don’t try to do it.
你可以微调、校准你的风险偏好，但你必须明白：市场是由人构成的，而这些人中大多数并不是傻子。
You may fine-tune and adjust your risk preference, but you have to understand: markets are made up of people, and most of them are not fools.
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如果他们有一定的理性和智慧，那么你想要做出完全不同的行为、同时又想取得成功，那就不太可能，除非你是极少数的 “例外者”。
If they possess a measure of reason and wisdom, it will be unlikely for you to behave completely differently and still succeed, unless you are one of those very rare “exceptions.”
记住，我 50 年里只做了 5 次市场时机判断。
Remember, I have only made five market timing calls in fifty years.
以上内容为霍华德·马克思公开采访整理
由数字人霍华德·马克思播报
本视频由七华软件用人工智能技术生成